IMF Concludes Reviews, Consultations with Tanzania
Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded today the 2025 Article IV Consultation [1] with Tanzania and completed the fifth review of the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement and the second review of the Resilience and Sustainability Framework (RSF) arrangement. The authorities have consented to the publication of the Staff Report prepared for this consultation. [2] Completion of the fifth ECF review allows for the immediate disbursement of about US$ 155.7 million (28.5 percent of quota, SDR 113.37 million), bringing Tanzania’s total access under the ECF arrangement to about US$ 908.3 million. Completion of the second RSF review allows for the immediate disbursement of about US$ 292.7 million (53.5 percent of quota, SDR 213.1 million), bringing Tanzania’s total access under the RSF arrangement to about US$ 345.4 million.
The 40-month ECF Arrangement with Tanzania for a total access of about US$ 1,046.4 million at the time of program approval (200 percent of quota, SDR 795.58 million) was initially approved in July 2022, and was extended by 6 months in June 2024. The arrangement aims to support economic recovery, preserve macro-financial stability, and promote sustainable and inclusive growth. The 23-month RSF arrangement with Tanzania, approved in June 2024 (150 percent of quota), supports the authorities’ reforms to reduce prospective balance of payments risks and enhance economic resilience to climate change.
Tanzania’s economic reform program under the ECF arrangement remained on track. All end-December 2024 quantitative performance criteria and indicative targets were met, and two end-December 2024 structural benchmarks were completed on time. Two of the three end-March SBs were implemented with delay, but the Secured Transaction Act has not been implemented and is reset to end-February 2026. All five reform measures (RMs) for this review were implemented despite challenges in meeting indicative timelines.
Economic activity continued to gain momentum, with real GDP growth reaching 5.5 percent in CY24. Headline inflation remained stable at 3.2 percent (year-on-year) in April 2025, below the central bank’s target, while a neutral or mildly stimulative monetary policy was maintained and exchange rate flexibility increased. The banking sector remains resilient, but pockets of vulnerability persist. The fiscal balance weakened markedly in the third quarter of FY25, prompting the authorities to delay lower priority spending in the fourth quarter. The current account deficit narrowed further to 2.6 percent of GDP in CY24, from 3.8 percent in CY23, underpinned by strong export performance.
The medium-term outlook is favorable, contingent on sustained reform implementation, particularly to strengthen the business environment and support a more dynamic private sector. However, risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, and challenges to meet SDG targets and reduce poverty are daunting, especially considering that the population is expected to double by 2050.
Following the Executive Board discussion, Mr. Okamura, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair, issued the following statement:
“Tanzania’s reform program supported by the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) remains broadly on track. Amid downside risks to the economic outlook and daunting challenges to reduce poverty, the authorities’ strong commitment to reform implementation, as well as continued engagement and capacity support by development partners, are critical.
“The authorities’ plan to resume growth-friendly fiscal consolidation in FY25/26 is welcome and will require steadfast implementation of revenue measures and strict cash management and commitment controls to ensure that spending is consistent with revenue outturns. Implementing contingency measures would also be essential to compensate for any budget over-run in FY24/25. In the medium term, decisive implementation of fiscal reforms including the new medium-term revenue strategy and public financial management reforms will be important to meet development needs while maintaining debt sustainability.
“Continued efforts are needed to fully operationalize the new interest rate-based monetary policy framework. Monetary operations could be strengthened by improving liquidity forecasting capacity and operation of standing facilities and addressing segmentation and counterparty credit risk in the interbank cash market. The recent increase in exchange rate flexibility is welcome and should continue to be a key pillar of the new monetary policy framework. Ongoing efforts to upgrade financial supervision will help enhance financial stability and deepening.
“Amid strong demographic pressures, achieving resilient and inclusive long-term growth requires accelerated human capital development through increased and more efficient public spending on education and health. At the same time, structural reforms in the areas of public sector governance, business regulation, and access to finance, as well as climate change-related reforms, are critical to foster private sector development and job creation, enhance economic resilience and reduce prospective balance of payments risks.”
Executive Board Assessment [3]
Executive Directors agreed with the thrust of the staff appraisal. They welcomed Tanzania’s continued robust growth, subdued inflation, and improved external balance. While they agreed that the medium-term outlook is favorable, they noted downside risks, including from an uncertain external environment, declining aid flows, and potential delays in reform implementation. They emphasized that the authorities’ commitment to reforms under the ECF and RSF programs will be critical to safeguard macro financial stability and achieve more resilient and inclusive long-term growth. Continued engagement and capacity development support by the Fund and other international partners also remain essential.
Directors welcomed the authorities’ commitment to resume growth friendly fiscal consolidation in FY25/26. They concurred that stepped-up efforts to enhance domestic revenue mobilization in line with the recently approved medium term revenue strategy, and to strengthen public financial and investment management, will be critical to create space for priority development needs and safeguard debt sustainability. They called for prudent budget execution in an election year and enforcement of commitment controls to control spending. They welcomed the continued progress in reducing domestic arrears.
Directors agreed that a neutral or mildly stimulative monetary policy stance remains appropriate at this juncture but encouraged the authorities to stand ready to adjust this stance if inflation pressures emerge. They called for continued efforts to improve monetary policy effectiveness, including strengthening monetary and liquidity management operations, policy communication, and central bank independence. They underscored the importance of greater exchange rate flexibility for cushioning the economy against external shocks and encouraged the removal of legacy exchange rate restrictions and Multiple Currency Practices. They welcomed the recent adoption of Basel II & III supervisory and regulatory standards and encouraged the authorities to continue upgrading the financial supervision framework and closely monitoring risks.
Directors called for accelerated structural reforms to promote sustainable private sector led growth and job creation. They urged the authorities to improve the efficiency of tax administration, ease the regulatory burden, promote access to finance, close gender gaps, and upgrade infrastructure. They also highlighted the pressing need to increase human capital through increased and more efficient public spending on education and health, as well as on social safety nets. Directors commended the authorities’ efforts to strengthen the AML/CFT framework and encouraged them to formalize risk-based AML/CFT supervision in the real estate sector. They welcomed the progress made in strengthening climate resilience through the RSF supported reforms.
It is expected that the next Article IV consultation with Tanzania will be held in accordance with the Executive Board decision on consultation cycles for members with Fund arrangements.
[1] Under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. Staff hold separate annual discussions with the regional institutions responsible for common policies in four currency unions—the Euro Area, the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union, the Central African Economic and Monetary Union, and the West African Economic and Monetary Union. For each of the currency unions, staff teams visit the regional institutions responsible for common policies in the currency union, collects economic and financial information, and discusses with officials the currency union’s economic developments and policies. On return to headquarters, the staff prepares a report, which forms the basis of discussion by the Executive Board. Both staff’s discussions with the regional institutions and the Board discussion of the annual staff report will be considered an integral part of the Article IV consultation with each member.
[2] Under the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, publication of documents that pertain to member countries is voluntary and requires the member consent. The staff report will be shortly published on the https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/TZA page.
[3] At the conclusion of the discussion, the Managing Director, as Chairman of the Board, summarizes the views of Executive Directors, and this summary is transmitted to the country’s authorities. An explanation of any qualifiers used in summings up can be found here: http://www.IMF.org/external/np/sec/misc/qualifiers.htm .
https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/06/27/pr25225-tanzania-imf-concl-2025-aiv-consultation-comp-5th-rev-ecf-arr-2nd-rev-rsf-arrangement